Exactly! That's what happened in Vietnam. We captured and killed so many experienced Vietcong and NVA leaders during the Tet Offensive that they were no longer an effective fighting force and ultimately lost the war...
Just a clarification of a few points in History. I find this coming up all the time by people who don't really understand what happened in Vietnam and draw parallels with Iraq. First of all, Iraq is only like Vietnam IF we were in Vietnam fighting ONLY the Vietcong. The Tet Offensive most definitely broke the back of the Vietcong, and they were never again an effective military organization. Had we only been fighting the Vietcong, the Vietnam war would have been effectively over in 1968.
However, we weren't just fighting the Vietcong guerillas, we were fighting the North Vietnamese army (who were also supplying and arming the Vietcong) who, in turn, were supplied and armed by another super-power. Furthermore, because of that other super-power involvement, we restricted our forces to small scale, limited conventional holding actions and counter-insurgency operations. The enemy was given a safe-haven from which to operate from.
Again, what we have in Iraq is a far different situation than in Vietnam. The only thing in common is the insurgency, and the Vietcong were far from invincible.
Jonathan Randall said:
No, IMO, the Iraq War is having the same effect upon Islamic fundamentalism as the Soviet-Afghan War did - taking disparate groups of fundamentalists who before the war would just have soon slit each other's throats and unifying them and hardening them in a battle where the stupid don't last long.
That's a good theory, except it ignores the different dynamics. Iraq has a long history of order and society, Afghanistan has a centuries long history of disperate brigandage.
What's furthermore, talking about the Soviet defeat in Afghanistan, devoid of including any other group, misses the entire point. There are several dynamics present in the Soviet defeat that you are ignoring. Not the least of which was the fact that, as with the US in Vietnam, another super-power was undermining their efforts by arming and supporting the insurgents. Add to that the effort made by Saudi financers to fund the whole endeavor with Billions of dollars. Again, the insurgents in Afghanistan did not succeed by their own efforts...They were on the verge of collapse prior to the introduction of US shoulder fired missiles that started shooting down Soviet helicopters.
Add to that the different social dynamics present in either country....Iraq has a long history of civil government control, Afghanistan has NEVER had that, and have been fighting civil authority for centuries.
Machiavelli stated that the nations with a history of long, civilized leadership are harder to defeat, but easier to rule. Nations with a history of disorganized and disconnected leadership are easy to conquer to hard to rule. This is the difference between Iraq and Afghanistan. This is beared out by the fact that, as I pointed out before, ONLY 3 provinces, of the nations 18 provinces, are suffering under an insurgency. This has been true since the beginning. The 3 pronvinces involved in the insurgency are 3 that benefited the most under Saddam and wish to maintain Sunni power and dominance over the country.
Jonathan Randall said:
Sgtmac, while I respect your sentiments and I know that they come from love of country, I think that the situation needs a re-analysis and re-evaluation.
If it needs those, it needs it from people who aren't politically invested in ensuring failure. Many people have legtimate concerns both sides, and a rational discussion should be had.
But we must seperate rational discussions from disingenuous ones designed only to sabotage and undermine. Many in the DNC have created a situation where they HAVE to force the loss of an appearance of a loss in this campaign. They benefit nothing from success. Moreover, they have an army of radical leftist sychophants more than willing to drive their talking points home at every turn. What's worse, most of the talking points are distortions and outright lies.
Jonathan Randall said:
Freedom is not on the march and the war is having, in many respects, the OPPOSITE effects intended. I wish it were otherwise.
Maybe you could rund down a list of those OPPOSITE effects. The fact that we are still fighting an insurgency should have come as no surprise. The idea that it is EXPLODING throughout the country is a distortion. Again, 3 provinces.
The idea that we've experienced a total rout is a distortion of reality at best. It comes from an over emphasis on the 'Butcher's Bill'. This has still been one of the LEAST costliest wars in American lives in history...especially if we consider it's 3 years old.