Here's how it broke down insofar as polling is concerned:
Survey USA had Biden 51%, Palin 32%, and the elusive Undecided at 17%
MediaCurves.com tracked independent voters, showing them favoring Biden 67% to Palin 33%.
Non-scientific polls:
AOL had Biden winning 48 to 45
MSNBC had Biden winning 78.6 to 18.9
CNN/Opinion Research-Biden 51 Palin 36
CBS had Biden 46 Palin 21
Fox put Biden 61 Palin 39
The CBS poll had 18% of uncommitted voters saying they will now vote for Obama and Biden, whereas 10% now say they'll vote for McCain and Palin.
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The debate drew more viewers than the first Presidential candidates debate. Much of this might have been due to Palin's initial popularity, her charisma, her looks...but also it might have been due to her abysmal interviews with Charlie Gibson and Katie Couric. These, along with Tina Fey's parodies and scathing criticism of Palin from a number of conservative writers, likely drew people to the debate out of curiosity. They were waiting for a train wreck. They didn't get it.
I thought Biden won, but I thought Palin did better than expected...but then, as many pundits have pointed out, her expectations were low.
Gwen Ifill, in spite of suggestions she'd show favoritism to Biden, did a very professional job. That said, she threw softballs to both candidates, and seemed not to want to follow up or ask for clarifications.
Both were coached well. Palin had canned answers that she tried to fit to the questions (often not so successfully, but without the anticipated blunders), and Biden clearly followed a game plan of being a gentleman. It was apparent his campaign didn't want him coming off as a bully, and he stayed on message in his attacks towards McCain and his record.
The question is whether Palin's performance, tepid as it was, will stop McCain's downslide. He's behind in six of the seven battleground states, and Obama has widened his lead in many. Much can happen in thirty days, and it would seem that few surprises remain...unless the market continues to tank.
In that event, McCain may be soundly beaten.
Regards,
Steve