Does this feel a little "Minority Report" to anyone else?
http://www.kansascity.com/mld/kansascity/news/breaking_news/16155226.htm
First you get a score from DHS that you can't dispute about if you will blow up a plane, now one about if you will kill....
I can see the logic behind all this and even the potential benefit, but I always worry with things like this where will it end?
Will this in the future be used to determine prison sentences or approve of deny parole?
Every person is different and I don't think a computer program no matter how complex can ever really account for that...
http://www.kansascity.com/mld/kansascity/news/breaking_news/16155226.htm
Now, using fresh data from the Philadelphia probation department, Berk and three colleagues have built an innovative model for predicting which troublemakers already in the system are most likely to kill or attempt a killing.
With the homicide rate in Philadelphia outpacing last year's by at least 7 percent, a computer model for "forecasting murder" is in the works, Berk said, to be delivered to the probation department in the new year, with clinical trials of the new tool to begin in the spring.
Initial research suggests the software-based system can make it 40 times more likely for caseworkers to accurately predict future lethality than they can using current practices.
....
When caseworkers begin applying the model next year they will input data about their individual cases - what Berk calls "dropping 'Joe' down the model" - to come up with scores that will allow the caseworkers to assign the most intense supervision to the riskiest cases.
Even a crime as serious as aggravated assault - pistol whipping, for example - "might not mean that much" if the first-time offender is 30, but it is an "alarming indicator" in a first-time offender who is 18, Berk said.
First you get a score from DHS that you can't dispute about if you will blow up a plane, now one about if you will kill....
I can see the logic behind all this and even the potential benefit, but I always worry with things like this where will it end?
Will this in the future be used to determine prison sentences or approve of deny parole?
Every person is different and I don't think a computer program no matter how complex can ever really account for that...