sgtmac_46
Senior Master
I've been doing some research on violent crime and the corellation to private ownership of firearms, and i've come to some conclusions. Conventional wisdom of the past few decades has been that availability of firearms was the reason the US had such a high crime rate and murder rate. Some recently events and research has brought some SERIOUS questioning to that conclusion.
"The murder rates of the U.S. and U.K. are also affected by differences in the way each counts homicides. The FBI asks police to list every homicide as murder, even if the case isn’t subsequently prosecuted or proceeds on a lesser charge, making the U.S. numbers as high as possible. By contrast, the English police "massage down" the homicide statistics, tracking each case through the courts and removing it if it is reduced to a lesser charge or determined to be an accident or self-defense, making the English numbers as low as possible."
http://www.reason.com/0211/fe.jm.gun.shtml
What to make of this? Is it possible that what we've been hearing about "violent american society" is over-blown?
"The London-based Office of Health Economics, after a careful international study, found that while "one reason often given for the high numbers of murders and manslaughters in the United States is the easy availability of firearms...the strong correlation with racial and socio-economic variables suggests that the underlying determinants of the homicide rate are related to particular cultural factors."
http://www.reason.com/0211/fe.jm.gun.shtml
"Cultural differences and more-permissive legal standards notwithstanding, the English rate of violent crime has been soaring since 1991. Over the same period, America’s has been falling dramatically. In 1999 The Boston Globe reported that the American murder rate, which had fluctuated by about 20 percent between 1974 and 1991, was "in startling free-fall." We have had nine consecutive years of sharply declining violent crime. As a result the English and American murder rates are converging. In 1981 the American rate was 8.7 times the English rate, in 1995 it was 5.7 times the English rate, and the latest study puts it at 3.5 times. "
http://www.reason.com/0211/fe.jm.gun.shtml
This conclusion corresponds with Bureau of Justice Statistics that show the following.
"Approximately 16,000 cases of murder or nonnegligent homicide occur each year in the US according to official FBI crime statistics; among solved cases, almost half of murders are committed by a narrow social group of black males age 17 to 50 (constituting less than 3% of general US population)" http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murder
In terms of over-all violent crime, England WAY surpasses the US, and in terms of the homicide rate, despite increasingly draconian gun control laws, England's MURDER rate has been on the increase, while that of the US, with increasing concealed-carry laws, has been plumeting. What gives?
Of course, this was written in 2002, what since then?
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/allnews/content_objectid=13175111_method=full_siteid=50143_headline=-UK-VIOLENT-CRIME-RATE-SOARING-name_page.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/3419401.stm
http://thewoman.blogspot.com/2005/07/us-violent-crime-rates-much-lower-than.html
Violent crime went up 14% between 2003 and 2004. According to government officials, the increase is only 3%, but still...
Apparently some in the UK, feeling that the problem is that they haven't passed enough laws restricting law abiding citizens, apparently decided that what is needed now, is a ban on sharp instruments. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/health/4581871.stm
Fortunately, this 'brilliant' piece of legislation hasn't gone anywhere.....yet.
The news is even worse in Scotland, which was labelled the most violent country in the industrialized world (Again, I thought that was the US...I guess they did too). http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2-1786945,00.html
The reason for the falling crime rate in the US and the rising one in Scotland, UK, Wales and others, is likely complex.
Some may argue that it isn't the relatively unrestrictive availability of private ownership of firearms in the US that is causing a LOWERING of crime in the US, one things IS clear....It certainly isn't causing an increase in violence. At WORST, private ownership is irrelavent in the violent crime rate, which is dropping for 'whatever' reason in the US, despite nearly 300 million firearms (and climbing) being in circulation. At best, that availability is helping reduce the violent crime rate in the US. Moreover, as UK and others are indicating, more restrictive laws will, at BEST, have no effect in reducing violent crime, and MAY increase violent crime.
What's more, in the areas that possess the most number of private firearms per person, the crime is FAR lower than even the national average, as high-rates of violence tend to be centered in the most restrictive areas of the US (who's gun laws closely reflect those of the UK). While those citizens that live in less-restrictive areas enjoy a relatively crime violence free environment.
Take the case of Washington DC, which enjoys one of the most restrictive firearms laws in the country, virtually banning private ownership of firearms inside the city. While the national average is 4 murders per 100,000, Washington DC enjoys a homicide rate of 45.8 per 100,000. The list of the most restrictive cities are a who's who of gun control legislation. Detroit, 42 per 100,000. Baltimore, 38.3 per 100,000. On and on. What's more, these large urban areas 'pump up' the national average to make US society appear more violent than it is, while the reasons the world blames the US for being violent, the legal private ownership of firearms, is virtually non-existent in these ultra-violent areas.
http://www.benbest.com/lifeext/murder.html
http://www.cnn.com/2005/US/11/21/camden.crime.ap/
http://msnbc.msn.com/id/8999837/
"According to FBI crime statistics, before the ban in 1976, Washington's murder rate was declining. In the 15 years that followed the ban, Washington's murder rate climbed 200 percent, while the national rate climbed only 12 percent."
http://www.southcoasttoday.com/daily/11-05/11-17-05/a16op849.htm
In light of this information, I believe it's time some in the US stop proposing that we apply the failed confiscatory social programs of Europe to the US. Just my opinion, I could be wrong. The mistake is rooted in the desire to half-heartedly deal with the problem of violence by attacking inanimate objects, with the purpose of avoiding having to deal with the TRUE cause of violence....human beings. The sociological view has been that people are not responsible for their actions, therefore, if we just take their toys away, they'll behave. Well, that hasn't happened.
Punishing people for behavior works......What Jeff Cooper calls "Hopolophobia: fear of weapons" is, however, a failure.
"The murder rates of the U.S. and U.K. are also affected by differences in the way each counts homicides. The FBI asks police to list every homicide as murder, even if the case isn’t subsequently prosecuted or proceeds on a lesser charge, making the U.S. numbers as high as possible. By contrast, the English police "massage down" the homicide statistics, tracking each case through the courts and removing it if it is reduced to a lesser charge or determined to be an accident or self-defense, making the English numbers as low as possible."
http://www.reason.com/0211/fe.jm.gun.shtml
What to make of this? Is it possible that what we've been hearing about "violent american society" is over-blown?
"The London-based Office of Health Economics, after a careful international study, found that while "one reason often given for the high numbers of murders and manslaughters in the United States is the easy availability of firearms...the strong correlation with racial and socio-economic variables suggests that the underlying determinants of the homicide rate are related to particular cultural factors."
http://www.reason.com/0211/fe.jm.gun.shtml
"Cultural differences and more-permissive legal standards notwithstanding, the English rate of violent crime has been soaring since 1991. Over the same period, America’s has been falling dramatically. In 1999 The Boston Globe reported that the American murder rate, which had fluctuated by about 20 percent between 1974 and 1991, was "in startling free-fall." We have had nine consecutive years of sharply declining violent crime. As a result the English and American murder rates are converging. In 1981 the American rate was 8.7 times the English rate, in 1995 it was 5.7 times the English rate, and the latest study puts it at 3.5 times. "
http://www.reason.com/0211/fe.jm.gun.shtml
This conclusion corresponds with Bureau of Justice Statistics that show the following.
"Approximately 16,000 cases of murder or nonnegligent homicide occur each year in the US according to official FBI crime statistics; among solved cases, almost half of murders are committed by a narrow social group of black males age 17 to 50 (constituting less than 3% of general US population)" http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murder
In terms of over-all violent crime, England WAY surpasses the US, and in terms of the homicide rate, despite increasingly draconian gun control laws, England's MURDER rate has been on the increase, while that of the US, with increasing concealed-carry laws, has been plumeting. What gives?
Of course, this was written in 2002, what since then?
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/allnews/content_objectid=13175111_method=full_siteid=50143_headline=-UK-VIOLENT-CRIME-RATE-SOARING-name_page.html
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/3419401.stm
http://thewoman.blogspot.com/2005/07/us-violent-crime-rates-much-lower-than.html
Violent crime went up 14% between 2003 and 2004. According to government officials, the increase is only 3%, but still...
Apparently some in the UK, feeling that the problem is that they haven't passed enough laws restricting law abiding citizens, apparently decided that what is needed now, is a ban on sharp instruments. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/health/4581871.stm
Fortunately, this 'brilliant' piece of legislation hasn't gone anywhere.....yet.
The news is even worse in Scotland, which was labelled the most violent country in the industrialized world (Again, I thought that was the US...I guess they did too). http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2-1786945,00.html
The reason for the falling crime rate in the US and the rising one in Scotland, UK, Wales and others, is likely complex.
Some may argue that it isn't the relatively unrestrictive availability of private ownership of firearms in the US that is causing a LOWERING of crime in the US, one things IS clear....It certainly isn't causing an increase in violence. At WORST, private ownership is irrelavent in the violent crime rate, which is dropping for 'whatever' reason in the US, despite nearly 300 million firearms (and climbing) being in circulation. At best, that availability is helping reduce the violent crime rate in the US. Moreover, as UK and others are indicating, more restrictive laws will, at BEST, have no effect in reducing violent crime, and MAY increase violent crime.
What's more, in the areas that possess the most number of private firearms per person, the crime is FAR lower than even the national average, as high-rates of violence tend to be centered in the most restrictive areas of the US (who's gun laws closely reflect those of the UK). While those citizens that live in less-restrictive areas enjoy a relatively crime violence free environment.
Take the case of Washington DC, which enjoys one of the most restrictive firearms laws in the country, virtually banning private ownership of firearms inside the city. While the national average is 4 murders per 100,000, Washington DC enjoys a homicide rate of 45.8 per 100,000. The list of the most restrictive cities are a who's who of gun control legislation. Detroit, 42 per 100,000. Baltimore, 38.3 per 100,000. On and on. What's more, these large urban areas 'pump up' the national average to make US society appear more violent than it is, while the reasons the world blames the US for being violent, the legal private ownership of firearms, is virtually non-existent in these ultra-violent areas.
http://www.benbest.com/lifeext/murder.html
http://www.cnn.com/2005/US/11/21/camden.crime.ap/
http://msnbc.msn.com/id/8999837/
"According to FBI crime statistics, before the ban in 1976, Washington's murder rate was declining. In the 15 years that followed the ban, Washington's murder rate climbed 200 percent, while the national rate climbed only 12 percent."
http://www.southcoasttoday.com/daily/11-05/11-17-05/a16op849.htm
In light of this information, I believe it's time some in the US stop proposing that we apply the failed confiscatory social programs of Europe to the US. Just my opinion, I could be wrong. The mistake is rooted in the desire to half-heartedly deal with the problem of violence by attacking inanimate objects, with the purpose of avoiding having to deal with the TRUE cause of violence....human beings. The sociological view has been that people are not responsible for their actions, therefore, if we just take their toys away, they'll behave. Well, that hasn't happened.
Punishing people for behavior works......What Jeff Cooper calls "Hopolophobia: fear of weapons" is, however, a failure.